The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued its outlook for the next three months, from January through March, forecasting contrasting conditions across the country. Central India, notably Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, is expected to receive better-than-normal rainfall, while northwest India may see below-average precipitation.
India weather forecast January to March outlook
The IMD’s seasonal guidance highlights a mixed picture. Officials say Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are likely to benefit from increased rainfall during the January to March period, which could aid soil moisture and early rabi crop development. In contrast, parts of northwest India, including Punjab and Haryana, are likely to record lower-than-normal precipitation.
IMD Director General Mrityunjay Mohapatra noted that Bihar and several northeastern states may experience slightly extended cold spells, with temperatures staying lower for roughly three extra days than usual. Rajasthan, by comparison, is expected to see winter draw to a close sooner than in many other years.
Meanwhile, the Kashmir region is already witnessing active winter weather. Snowfall has been reported at popular hill stations such as Sonamarg, Pahalgam and Gulmarg. Authorities have closed several key mountain routes because of the fresh snow. The Mughal Road and Sinthan Top Road, which link the Kashmir valley with Jammu, are currently not passable to vehicles. The Srinagar–Sonamarg–Gumri road, which connects Kashmir with Ladakh’s Kargil district, is also closed following the recent downpour and snow.
Local officials warned that the valley is in the midst of the Chilla-e-Kalan, the traditional 40-day cold period when nocturnal temperatures typically plunge. This year the heavy snow has so far been confined to the higher terrain. The plains of north India have not seen widespread snowfall and remain largely unaffected by mountain snow events.
Road closures due to snow have disrupted movement and prompted contingency measures. Transport departments are coordinating with police and disaster response teams to clear routes and ensure supplies reach isolated communities. Tourists are also being advised to check route status and travel only when conditions are declared safe.
Farmers and planners in central India may welcome the forecast of increased rainfall, which could support sowing and reduce irrigation pressure. However, authorities in the northwest should monitor water reservoirs and advise farmers as rain deficits can affect winter cropping in some districts.
The IMD has also signalled the possibility of rain and snowfall in certain areas on 3 January, underscoring the need for ongoing vigilance by local administrations. Citizens are encouraged to follow advisories from the IMD and local authorities, particularly in hilly regions where avalanches, roadblocks and sudden temperature drops can pose hazards.
Looking ahead, the IMD will continue to update its forecasts and issue warnings as weather systems evolve. Residents in affected states should stay informed through official channels and take standard precautions during cold spells and periods of heavy precipitation.
Key Takeaways:
- India weather forecast: IMD predicts above-normal rainfall for Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh from January to March.
- Northwest India, including Punjab and Haryana, is likely to receive below-normal rainfall.
- Jammu and Kashmir is experiencing snowfall with several mountain roads closed; plains remain largely snow-free.
- Bihar and northeastern states may see slightly prolonged cold spells while Rajasthan could warm earlier than usual.
